The process of decision-making on climate and energy policy is a challenging task, which is affected by an important number of internal and external factors. In this report, we have strived for the development of a comprehensive set of narratives that will be used in upcoming modeling exercises to produce outcomes related to the assessment of the decarbonization potential of the energy citizenship concept. We used, as a starting point, insights from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C and the concept of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs).
Based on the SSPs, we formulated three narratives, which describe future systemic changes of the society and economy in general:
• “A unified world” (Citizens at the core of the energy transition, inclusive development).
• “A fragmented world” (Regional conflicts, countries prioritize domestic issues).
• “A familiar world” (Reference narrative).
In parallel, we brought the citizens to the forefront with the aim of building “people-centric” narratives, based on previously identified energy citizenship trends and patterns:
• “Power to the People” (Active participation in the energy market).
• “Band Together” (Collective expressions of energy citizenship).
• “Habitual Creatures” (Actions towards energy efficiency).
• “People to the Streets” (Political activities).
• “Business as usual” (Reference narrative).
As a next step, we will formulate specific quantitative scenarios, which will be modeled with the use of the ENCLUDE modeling ensemble, i.e., the Agent-based Technology adOption Model (ATOM), the Dynamic high-Resolution dEmand-sidE Management (DREEM) model, and the Integrated Model to Assess the Global Environment (IMAGE).
Find more about this report here.
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