GWC PLAY LIST

Sunday

February 3, 2019

 

February Results:

Overall:

16-12-1  +37.27

 

BEST BETS:

4-2  +38.35

 

MAXIMUM BEST BETS

2019:

1-1-1  -2.50

 

    Saturday was a solid money making day at the office.  Got the 3-0 BEST BET sweep... key wins were on Wichita State early on to get some positive flow to the day, and then BB St Mary's gave me a heart attack in the final minute but got the cover over the Dons.  Early line on Warriors was the right line and they cashed a 14 point home win over the Lakers.

     Got a MAXIMUM BEST BET play going in college basketball on Sunday and it will be the only college action on the card.

     For grading of all the prop bets... I will adjust the unit total in the overall column but will not count them in the WIN-LOSS as I basically consider them partial plays and will be betting them as such.  So, when grading the results... the overall unit total will reflect the results but the wins and losses will not.

     Be the last day of 4 BEST BET plays in a single card for quite awhile... tons of action tomorrow and it was nice to create a solid cushion with the gains on Saturday.

     With the BEST BET win on the Warriors on Saturday in the NBA... NBA BEST BET plays are now 25-8 for the first 33 days of 2019.  That comes out to 75.7%... doesn't really get much better than over this kind of time frame and play sample... been an awesome run of winning.

     I will likely give out the analysis for the Super Bowl tomorrow for everyone... I always do this as being such a big game, the action is usually set and it is simply to let everyone see how I analyzed the game and my prediction.

 

 

NFL 2018

OVERALL:

80-75-8  -24.00

 

BEST BETS:

25-22-2  +4.00

 

Playoffs :

OVERALL:

4-6  -29.10

 

BEST BETS:

2-3  -16.50

 

SUPER BOWL LIII

BEST BET

19* New England -2.5

     Probably not the matchup of the ages but nonetheless it should be a very interesting clash of teams built one with veterans and one based on youth.

     The Brady era began what seems like a lifetime ago by defeating the greatest show on turf and Kurt Warner as a massive underdog to capture his first Super Bowl... now Brady is an old guy trying to beat back the youth of Goff and a young head coach of the Rams.

     Rams put up their first winning season in 14 years so you would not be out of the realm of sanity to say getting to this point is a bit of a surprise for the Rams.  Goff, who was a high draft pick, was on the verge of being tagged a proverbial bust before finding his stride this season under the offense of McVay.

     Patriots do what they basically do every season... win the AFC East and contend for a title.  This season they were forced to go on the road to win the AFC and take out a high powered Chiefs team as a slight underdog.

     Expect the Patriots to take away the best weapon on offense for the Rams... that is the classic way that New England approaches it.  So, one of the wide receivers most likely Cooks or Woods perhaps will be shadowed and Goff will be forced to go where he is not most comfortable.

     Rams should seek to push their rushing attack which worked so well against Dallas but basically vanished against the Saints.  Patriots are more likely to give up some rushing yards and then get stiff as the Rams approach the red zone.

     Los Angeles will need a big game from Donald.  The best way to slow down Brady is to get in his face up the middle and disrupt he ability to step directly into his throws... Donald is a force on the line and he is the best shot LA has at disrupting the Patriots flow.

     Appreciate what the Rams have done this season but at the end of the day my money has to fall on the side of the proven commodity here and that will be Belichick and Brady.  Patriots will use a variety of offensive schemes, but look for Edelman and a combination of backs to keep moving the chains.

     New England controls the flow of the game on the offensive side of the ball and eventually begin to wear the Rams down.  LA will put up a fight I do believe, but when the 4th quarter clock expires it will be the Patriots that are celebrating.

NEW ENGLAND 30   LA Rams 23 

     

Prop Bets:

 

Player to score first TD of game:

1* James White (NE) +900

1* Robert Woods (LAR) +750

 

Total TD's scored:

2* UNDER 6.5 +105

 

Total sucessful FG's:

2* OVER 3.5  -120

 

Total Passing yards combined:

2* UNDER 589.5 -105

 

Total TD Passes Tom Brady:

2* OVER 2.5 +115

 

Total Rushing Yards Combined:

2* OVER 253.5  -110

 

Total Rush Yards Rex Burkhead:

2* OVER 22.5

 

Total Rush and Receiving yards combined:

2* James White OVER 75.5

 

 

NCAA Basketball 2018-19

OVERALL

206-196-9  -8.90

 

BEST BETS:

45-39-1  +60.40

 

Sunday

MAXIMUM BEST BET

25* Northern Kentucky -4.5

     Lots of times these plays require the proper set up.  This play got the correct set up with the brutal play of Wright State on Friday night and Northern Kentucky getting a taste of defeat at IUPUI... a team much higher rated on my charts than UIC.

     Do not expect to see Northern Kentucky missing 20 uncontested shots around the rim and that is basically what Wright State did throughout the game that allowed UIC to get the win.  

     This line simply put is very soft.  I have this number at 11.  In addition, Northern Kentucky has been a pretty damn consistent team in their play and in how I have been able to predict and put lines on their games... this has been the case for a couple seasons now.

     Do believe they cashed one of these for me last season at some point, and this simply has all of the factors that makes it the right time and place to put down the MAXIMUM BEST BET label for them on Sunday.  GOOD LUCK to all my heavy hitters... let's cash this one and get green for the year.

 

 

NBA 2018-19

OVERALL:

137-106-6  +394.70

 

BEST BETS:

64-39-3  +409.80

 

Sunday

BEST BET

21* Boston -3

     Two hot teams going at it here on Sunday with OKC, winners of seven straight games, coming into Boston to take on the Celtics.

     Only Celtics home loss in recent memory was before Christmas to the Bucks prior to that tough, tight home loss to the Warriors recently.  Boston is solid and will play hard to defend their home court against a solid Western Conference team... you can count on it.

     Looking over the road wins for OKC in the most recent run... none of them that impressive against weaker Eastern Conference teams and they were soundly defeated at Atlanta giving up 142 points to a weak Hawks team.

     When a team is hot... you look for that stumbling block and this to me is the spot they find the most resistance.  Take the Celtics as the BEST BET play in the NBA on Sunday.

     

 

NHL 2018-19

OVERALL:

63-81  -235.43

 

BEST BEST:

33-63  -323.55

 

Sunday

BEST BET

15* Calgary -115

 

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